In
a world full of microbes, will billions of dollars build
biodefences?
CAIRO
- The bacteria lie dormant, freeze-dried in sealed ampules,
in a refrigerator on a teeming university campus beside the
Nile.
They’re
among Earth’s most common germs - clostridia perfringens,
a cause of food poisoning, a specimen for research. But this
pathogen can also be a weapon: Iraqi scientists worked for
years to mobilize this 'Agent G' for Saddam Hussein’s
wars.
With
fears of disease agents being used by terrorists growing
around the world - and many labs that could be sources of
toxins insecure - the World Health Organization plans a
“guidance document” next year promoting laboratory
biosecurity. In the United States, where terrorism fears are
particularly strong, new laws clamp controls on clostridia
and other “select agents,” demanding registrations,
reporting, background checks on scientists.
Unreasonable
fears
But
Egypt, in a region roiled by terrorism, has no such laws,
although the bacteria at Ain Shams University are kept in a
locked refrigerator, accessible by one authorized
technician, in a laboratory protected by foolproof
electronic keys, said Nabil Magdoub, microbe collection
director.
“We
have to be alert,” he said, but not “unreasonable.”
After
all, Magdoub said, any hospital is also rife with dangerous
microorganisms. “The American people have become so
sensitive toward a lot of normal, ordinary matters,” he
said, echoing a sentiment heard increasingly in America,
where microbiologists fear that ever-stricter controls might
stifle their ability to exchange samples and conduct
research.
Four
years after the Sept. 11 attacks, terrorist use of disease
agents to inflict mass casualties looms more and more as the
bottom line of America’s sum of all fears. Tom Ridge,
former homeland security secretary, has said authorities
don’t believe terror groups can build nuclear bombs, and
so bioweapons become the greater threat.
“Anthrax
is a concern,” said Donald Van Duyn of the FBI’s
Counterterrorism Division. “You could do as much damage
with anthrax and other substances” as with a nuclear bomb,
the FBI analyst said in a Washington interview.
One
attack scenario now used in US planning sees more than
300,000 people in an American city exposed to aerosolized
anthrax bacteria spread by terrorists via a truck sprayer,
with more than 13,000 dying.
Biodefence
The
fear is reflected in the US budget’s bottom line as well:
Spending on civilian “biodefence” has leaped 18-fold
since 2001, to US$7.6 billion (Ð6.3 billion) this year.
Project Bioshield, to develop bioterrorism countermeasures,
awarded its first contract last November, US$877 million (Ð729.8
million) for 75 million doses of a new anthrax vaccine.
The
anthrax scare began when someone mailed anthrax powder
through the US postal system in late 2001 and five people
died. As a result, “I’d say we get five white-powder
threats a week, people calling saying, ’I found white
powder. What do I do?”’ said Van Duyn.
Because
of the high quality of those 2001 anthrax spores, however,
experts believe the perpetrator, still at large, was not
linked to foreign terrorists, but possibly to the U.S.
government’s own anthrax program. That research began
decades back as an offensive weapons program, but is now
considered defensive.
Even
a terror group as well-financed and educated as Japan’s
Aum Shinrikyo, whose homemade sarin chemical agent killed 12
people in 1995, failed to isolate a virulent strain in four
years’ work on anthrax.
'Weaponising'
bioagents
Osama
bin Laden’s Al Qaeda also pursued anthrax in Afghanistan,
captured documents showed. But it turned the job over to a
Malaysian with a mere bachelor’s degree in biology, US
investigators found. He, too, apparently failed to find a
virulent strain - let alone a workable way to
“weaponize” anthrax - before being arrested in 2001.
Drying
and refining anthrax spores into particles readily inhaled,
and then engineering equipment to spread them extensively,
is a formidable challenge, US congressional researchers
noted in a 2004 study. “Even a Ph.D. microbiologist
doesn’t know the dark arts of putting microbes into
weapons,” said Jonathan Tucker, a bioweapons expert with
California’s Monterey Institute for International Studies.
It
took Iraqi scientists five years to weaponize anthrax in the
1980s. Meanwhile, others in Saddam’s secret program were
working on “Agent G,” UN arms inspectors later learned.
The toxin-spewing clostridium perfringens, applied to
shrapnel, would kill the wounded by spreading virulent gas
gangrene in their shrapnel wounds.
The
Iraqis apparently never weaponized Agent G, however, and
eventually reported to inspectors they had destroyed all 900
gallons they made.
Today
clostridium perfringens is one of 49 microbes on the US list
of “select agents” considered potential “severe
threats.” American laboratories handling the germ must
register with the government, their personnel must undergo
background checks, and transfers of cultures must be
reported.
That
list’s length, from the toxin abrin to the plague bacteria
yersinia pestis, tells some that billions of US dollars
won’t go far, since only three on the list - anthrax,
smallpox and botulinum toxin - are being addressed so far in
stepped-up biodefence research programs. And that’s not
counting any new genetically re-engineered microbes.
“What’s
going to come at you is impossible to predict,” molecular
biologist Roger Brent told a U.S. House panel in July.
Threat
‘systematically exaggerated’
Others
question whether anything will come, in view of what Tucker
calls Al Qaeda’s “gap in technical sophistication.”
Milton Leitenberg, a bioweapons authority at the University
of Maryland, contends the threat has been “systematically
exaggerated.”
Few
question the need, however, to tighten security at microbe
collections worldwide. Only 500 of the estimated 1,500 major
repositories - which maintain, exchange and sell samples for
research and diagnostics - subscribe to the World Federation
for Culture Collections’ voluntary security guidelines.
Magdoub’s
Egypt Microbial Culture Collection is one. But a team of
Egyptian microbiologists noted in a recent study that
smaller collections have proliferated in Egypt, which has no
“biosecurity” laws. Team member Youssef Hamdi told The
Associated Press all such resources should be combined in a
single “National Culture Collection” to “insure
purity, conservation and security.”
Internationally,
“the problem is the ones you don’t know about,” said
Barry Kellman, director of the International Weapons Control
Center at Chicago’s DePaul University. Perhaps one-third
of the world’s microbe collections are poorly protected,
he estimated.
Kellman,
meanwhile, agrees with those who doubt that Al Qaeda,
“in a cave in Afghanistan,” poses a bioterrorism
threat. He worries more about a homegrown menace, asking,
“What if Ted Kaczynski” - America’s notorious
Unabomber - “had been a biology professor instead of a
math professor?”
AP
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